About Critical Mass [dot] Writing [dot] Reviews [dot] Contact
« previous entry | return home | next entry »

December 5, 2008 [feather]
Burst

Donald Downs says that higher ed may be the next bubble to burst in our serial national popping spree. With tuition way too high, educational outcomes often questionable, and the earning power of a diploma only tenuously pegged to its cost, something has to give. And--as with the other bubbles that have been bursting--that's not necessarily a bad thing.


In an article on Forbes.com a few months ago, a leading financial analyst observed, "We are at a trend line that cannot be sustained. Tuition must go down, or there will be limited demand for high-priced private schools." The recent economic debacle enhances the credibility of this prediction. As we speak, high-priced Antioch College is closing its expensive (and excessively politically correct) doors after 157 years of existence. According to many sources, Antioch is the beginning of a national trend.

Last September, Timothy Burke, a professor of history at Swarthmore, wrote an influential essay at Inside Higher Ed in which he asserted that "the party's over" for higher ed's tuition and building binge. Burke focused on five main reasons for a contraction in higher education: 1) declines in tuition growth; 2) underperformance by endowments; 3) pullbacks by donors (indeed, on November 26 the Wall Street Journal published a lead story on how the economic crisis has caused a downturn in charity giving nation-wide); 4) lower funding from public and private sources; and 5) the fact that revenues from IPOs, investment property rights, and technology benefit only a few institutions. A respondent to Burke's piece added three other factors: 1) fewer students are attending college as the nation's demographics change; 2) "growing public awareness of the declining economic returns of a college degree" is causing a backlash; and 3) such on-line schools as the University of Phoenix provide education at a fraction of what residential institutions charge. (Will the Internet affect higher ed the same way it has affected newspapers?)

A prescient friend of mine recently related a thought he had while teaching a few years ago at a "third tier private school" that had high tuition. At "job fairs" at the school, most of the positions being offered involved jobs as low-level managers at Target, McDonalds, and similar businesses. My friend surmised that students had to wonder why they or their families had depleted their bank accounts to pay for an educations that led to positions that simply did not require the pedagogical preparation the school offered. To be sure, a liberal education is a precious thing in its own right. But its preciousness has a way of declining when its costs put middle class citizens in a vise--especially when those citizens are already living in the vise of the new economy.

How all this plays out is unclear. Obviously higher education will (and should) survive. But there is no reason to think that higher ed will be immune to the shakeouts and reorganizations that have affected so many other institutions in this age of globalization, which has wrought a heightened level of what economist Joseph Schumpeter called "creative destruction." Burke and others speculate that we might witness such changes as new thinking about how to allocate precious resources in the pedagogical mission; heightened prioritizing and avoidance of overlap in programs and courses, leading to layoffs despite tenure protections; less indulgence in providing expensive student "creature comforts;" efforts by institutions to charge more for the knowledge they produce; reconsideration of how non-tenured, adjunct faculty are used; and the need "to develop new mental habits, to stop assuming or believing that growth is the default." Some schools will no doubt disappear, and others will consolidate. Some will decline, while others will thrive by gathering up some of the pieces.


Downs speculates that one result of such a restructuring is that fewer people may attend college, opting instead for skilled trades. He also thinks, counterintuitively but intriguingly, that another result may be a revival of liberal arts education, particularly among older students who have the maturity to appreciate it.

Predictions aside, higher ed will have opportunities for innovation. It can come out better in the long run if it responds to those opportunities as opportunities. That will require great institutional flexibility and imaginative strength on the part of administrators (who should be far fewer, and far less exhorbitantly paid) and professors (who should be doing lots more teaching, and who should not be uniformly obligated by the research model). The great teachers, after all, are very often not the great researchers. And there are entire disciplines that are foundering under the weight of a research model that just doesn't work. Anthony Kronman is eloquent on this point in Education's End--so much of the trouble we have with the humanities today originated in the misguided adoption of a research ideal that was far better suited to the sciences. Humanists ought to be teachers first--even at Harvard! If they happen to have great ideas along the way, they should write them up in their free time and in the summers. It's the exceptional humanist who really does have an original thought worthy of publication, let alone a regular flow of original thoughts worthy of a constant stream of articles, talks, and books. Most just don't. But they have to pretend they do to hold on to their careers: and thus does the profession itself come to resemble an intellectually unstable house of cards. It would be so much better for everyone if the role were more modest, more oriented around teaching, more grounded in the awareness that often the best thing a college humanities professor can do is function as a responsible steward for great works, great ideas, and the skills involved in understanding them. That's humble and often thankless stuff. The ego involved is minuscule compared to that involved in churning out "My Work," as it is so often tellingly called. But often, it is also so much more valuable in the end.

Other things that hang in the balance of a "creative destruction": tenure (but not necessarily academic freedom), and the massive, bloated, meddlesome and distracting student life bureaucracy (think: University of Delaware). The one is already over, though many won't admit it, and it's time to start working toward a fixed-contract system that eliminates the ugly caste structure we have now, with adjuncts doing most of the work. The other needs major cutbacks. If students are old enough to go to college, they are old enough to live in an off-campus apartment, to feed themselves, to clean up after themselves, to pay their bills, and to live like responsible adults. If they can't do that, then they should either attend college while living at home or put college off until they have grown up.

Colleges and universities should not be in the housing business. They provide an inferior, overpriced product (having lived in Penn's outrageously priced, rat- and roach-infested, underheated freshman dorm as a faculty advisor for two years, I can speak to that). And they also create experiential bubbles that narrow students' lives in potentially devastating ways. The party culture that dominates so many campuses is connected, ironically, to the in loco parentis approach of many institutions. So is the attendant anti-intellectualism. And so are speech codes.

I'm just thinking on the spot. Reactions and additional thoughts welcome.

posted on December 5, 2008 10:09 AM




Trackback Pings:

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.erinoconnor.org/movabletype/mt-tb.cgi/1558






Comments:

well lot of bubbles will burst for sure.

Posted by: Ed Halbert at December 5, 2008 12:49 PM



Next time you hear someone criticizing postmodernists for challenging the integrity of the subject or the sublimity of free will, just remember this sentence: "But there is no reason to think that higher ed will be immune to the shakeouts and reorganizations that have affected so many other institutions in this age of globalization, which has wrought a heightened level of what economist Joseph Schumpeter called 'creative destruction.'"

Otherwise, I agree with Erin: colleges should get out of the human services game, provided government steps in. Penn's housing is disgusting, but to leave students to the vagaries of urban rent flux is disgusting as well. Parents without health care wind up relying on colleges to provide health services for college-age students. And decaying urban areas, along with isolated exurban wastelands, simply don't provide students with safe and reliable market-driven products and services.

My suspicion is that the talk of educational austerity will simply lead to a bipolar system, in which those rich enough to enjoy the "privilege" of college will thrive.

Posted by: Luther Blissett at December 5, 2008 6:55 PM



A couple thoughts..

1)In finance, a bubble occurs when people value assets for the circular reason that they are valued by others, rather than because of their intrinsic worth. Something similar has occurred in education: for the last couple of decades, at least, the meme has been "get a college/grad school degree so you can get a better job," which is something very different from "go to college/ grad school so you can learn the skills necessary for a better job." This emphasis on credentialism is, I think, at the root of many of our problems both in education and in society. If students are mainly after the piece of paper, they really don't care that much about what's being taught...and it has to be very difficult for professors to focus energies on teaching when confronted day after day with classrooms of students many of whom are just filling their time-in-seat requirements.

2)Re the comment about low-level jobs at Target & McDonald's--one may not need college to be a McDonald's store manager or a Target front-end manager, but hopefully, the individual's career doesn't end there. To the extent that these organizations promote from within, there may be an opportunity to eventually be a region manager, or a national merchandise manager, or any of a number of things for which the knowledge and abstract thinking skills purportedly developed by college should be of considerable use. I would rather see at least some of the executive management positions in these companies filled by people who have started working on the front lines rather than going direct from MBA school to corporate HQ without ever meeting any actual customers on the way, and I think education policy, as well as corporate mentality, has an impact on this outcome.

Posted by: david foster at December 6, 2008 6:22 AM



To be sure, a liberal education is a precious thing in its own right. But its preciousness has a way of declining when its costs put middle class citizens in a vise.

Hey, that precious liberal arts education is available right here at my institution for a mere $1,200 per full-time semester. Student-teacher ratio is 18:1. Tenured profs with terminal degrees teach most intro classes (as part of their 4-4 loads). We have comparatively few adjuncts. Teaching counts here, not research.

We're just about everything Erin could want in a public college. (How about throwing a little love our way sometime, Erin, instead of always talking about higher ed as if we don't exist, or as if we're some sort of freakish exception?) Yet oddly enough we constantly struggle for students because we can't offer nonacademic amenities like a great location or Division I sports. Maybe we'll benefit from a bursting of the higher-ed bubble, though somehow I doubt it.

Posted by: Eveningsun at December 6, 2008 10:08 AM



Eveningsun...To what extent is your need to struggle for students based on amenities vs the desire of students & parents for certain college brand-names? (Obviously, if your school is already a great & famous name, the answer must be either "amenities" or bad problems in the admissions department.) But in general, I think brand preferences too often replace a serious attempt to think through the pros & cons of a particular college..on the part of students, parents, and also employers. Not obvious how this can be fixed.

Posted by: david foster at December 6, 2008 2:48 PM



David, I think parents and students privilege Big Name Universities because employers -- especially in professions like law, medicine, engineering, and business -- privilege those Big Names.

I agree, though, that especially for undergraduate education, a well-motivated student can get a top-notch education at small state universities for much less money. (I went to a tiny state school in NJ -- not Rutgers! -- and was accepted to excellent graduate programs upon graduation. I actually *made* $4000 overall in college due to excess scholarship money, the tuition being so low. I spent the money on books.)

Still, most states have cut their funding of state schools. The current economic crisis is giving administrators the opportunity to cut untenured faculty, to cut tenure-track lines, and to cut department budgets. Meanwhile, our local Big State School is building a new stadium for its terrible football team.

Currently, I teach at a highly competitive private school. Students there are increasingly considering Big State U for financial reasons. When they get there, they will be taught by overextended adjuncts and novice graduate students. The most highly motivated will continue to excel, but others will no doubt get turned off.

So, if cheaper public institutions are the way, let's consider why their public funding has declined, why their labor pool is severely circumscribed, why austerity isn't spread to sports and administration.

And if the Big Names are simply brand names, let's consider why those with tons of power still come from Big Name U.

Posted by: Luther Blissett at December 6, 2008 9:49 PM



I have a suggestion for the dorms. Keep them but let the hotel industry run them.

Let several hotel firms compete on each campus on price, amenities or whatever else they choose.

Students get a choice, prices become competitive, and "loco parentis" issues are resolved.

True, the "student life" bureaucracies will have to go but the hotel industry has many openings suitable to people with their skill level.

Posted by: Bill R at December 7, 2008 7:18 AM



LB..."And if the Big Names are simply brand names, let's consider why those with tons of power still come from Big Name U"...probably three reasons: first, filtering: the tougher admissions criteria mean that many of those attending BigName are smarter and/or harder working, and these atributes would have stayed with them even if they had attended Cheap&Basic U. Second, actual quality: as you point out, they are less likely to be taught by overextended adjuncts and in very large lecture sections if they go to Cheap&Basic U. Finally, the branding issue is very real: I doubt if even 5% of the employers who give preference to BigName are doing so based on a serious analysis of the quality of teachning in the various universities; rather, they are acting on received knowledge/prejudice.

The hiring preference for BigName vs Cheap&Basic varies considerably from industry to industry..it is particularly strong in law, investment banking, and consulting.

Posted by: david foster at December 7, 2008 8:19 AM



[I]n general...brand preferences too often replace a serious attempt to think through the pros & cons of a particular college, on the part of students, parents, and also employers. Yep--it's consumerism all the way down. And I agree that it's "not obvious how this can be fixed." Hard to expect students, parents, and employers to think about college in anything other than consumerist terms, when the culture as a whole doesn't teach them any other way to think. (Even many of our churches are essentially consumerist--service providers, basically.)

And of course most of the solutions batted around on conservative blogs (not to mention state legislatures) are market-oriented and hence miss this fundamental aspect of the problem. Market-oriented solutions might be fine when it comes to increasing access to training in the manual arts and even preprofessional programs, but I don't see how they're going to help liberal arts education qua liberal arts education.

Of course, cultural conservatives know they'll never get anywhere by scolding the masses. Much more money to be made scapegoating the intellectuals.

Doubtless my thinking here is shaped by my own experience--by the fact that, like Luther, I'm a product of inexpensive (and definitely non-prestigious) state schools. I think I got an excellent education, but I would never attribute the excellence of my education to the excellence of the schools I attended. I attribute it to my own desire and work ethic.

In a sense, once a school provides a decent library and faculty sufficient to meet the truly educational needs of the undergraduate student who truly wants to learn, it is already an "excellent college" as a college (as opposed to a Club Med, a high-class marriage mart, and a dispenser of social prestige).

In this sense, the nation is chock full of excellent colleges. An undergraduate can get just as good an education at my own little second-tier state college as at Harvard, and for about a twentieth the cost. I mean that literally: just as good as Harvard. Efficient, low-cost, affordable, accessible, high-quality higher-education is already here. In fact it's already everywhere in this country. It does not wait upon the implementation of this or that "higher education reform." The higher-ed reform crowd is barking up the wrong tree. We don't need to reform higher education--we need to reform people's consumerist attitudes. And I doubt that's going to be accomplished the ideology of the "reformers" works more generally to harden those consumerist attitudes. I can't remember who it is, but one of these so-called reformers is fond of telling students that today's "politically correct" university is "cheating" them out of a quality education, as if the students were the passive victims of some slick con game. Well, at some schools definitely do get conned. But every con artist knows that the surest way to cheat someone is to play on their existing greed, to offer them something for nothing.

What to do, then? It might help to stop demonizing higher ed generally. Erin does this all the time, painting with far too broad a brush, though she's certainly not as big a part of the problem as most of the pseudo-reformers. It might help if we started framing higher ed as an opportunity (of which students can avail themselves or not, as they choose) rather than a product (which, having paid for, students and parents expect to be of "high quality"). In the latter frame, a dumb graduate indicates a lousy college with a lousy faculty. In the former, a dumb graduate indicates a foolish student who paid good money for an opportunity he never availed himself of, an idiot who went to an honest car dealership, paid good money for a quality car, and then left it sitting for four years on the lot--not a professoriate that needs to be whipped into shape by the right-wing scoldetariat.

Yes, some fresh analogies.... Maybe we should think of a college not as a factory but as a gym. You can't buy higher education any more than you can buy weight loss and big muscles at Gold's. Or, if we must think in consumerist terms, maybe we should take a hint from the dieticians. It's true that most Americans pay too much for unhealthy food. But it's not because healthy, inexpensive food is no longer available. It's sitting right there in the produce aisle. And it's not because the PC farmers are slothful and the liberal food industry inefficient. No amount of agricultural reform will solve the nation's dietary problem as long as consumer attitudes remain the same. Ditto higher ed.

Like Erin, I'm just thinking out loud here....

Posted by: Eveningsun at December 7, 2008 8:23 AM



[T]hose attending BigName...are less likely to be taught by overextended adjuncts and in very large lecture sections if they go to Cheap&Basic U. Well, yes and no. At Flagship State University, yes: crowded lectures and exploited adjuncts. But at many a second-tier, rural Southwest Northeast State Teacher's College, no.

I teach at one of the latter. Our student-faculty ratio is about 18:1, and our use of adjuncts is modest, mainly because we have no high-powered research faculty to subsidize. A halfways motivated student really can get a great undergraduate education at schools like mine--and not just book learning, either. They can also get great mentoring and experience doing modest but genuine research of the non-capital-intensive variety.

Posted by: Eveningsun at December 7, 2008 10:45 AM



A few more thoughts;

1)Lots of people other than academics & intellectuals get verbally beaten up in our society. Imagine being an oil company exec, or head of the United Auto Workers, not to mention a government employee or an elected official. Academics may feel that they are coming in for a disproportionate share of criticism, but it's not clear that they get more than any other highly-visible social group.

2)It's worthwhile to distinguish between "academics" and "intellectuals." There are lots of non-academics who have intellectual interests, and more than a few academics who are pretty narrow.

3)Much of hostility toward academis and "elitists" is directed toward the gatekeeper role played by the universities. Imagine an experienced bank branch manager who has been passed over for promotion to region manager--in favor of an Ivy League MBA with a purely theoretical knowledge of banking. Her likely resentment is not precisely against intellectuals (and our newly-minted MBA is probably not one in any sense that most academics would like to claim) nor against elitism in the sense of *respect for excellence* (she probably considers *herself* pretty excellent) but rather against the excessive emphasis on credentials and purely theory-based knowledge as opposed to the kind of experience-based knowledge that she has developed.

Posted by: david foster at December 7, 2008 12:32 PM





Post a comment:




Remember Me?

(you may use HTML tags for style)